Trading Strategies in EU Carbon Markets

Jun 16, 2025

SparkChange tracks the carbon hedging activity of companies responsible for around 50% of EU ETS emissions and 40% under the UK ETS. This report provides a sectoral overview based on the latest financial and sustainability disclosures.

Utilities remain the most advanced in carbon hedging. Nearly all major players hedge their generation spreads, and thus their carbon exposure. Following a dip in 2022 due to energy market volatility, most have resumed systematic hedging, though with variation. On average, utilities hedged~60% of year-ahead generation, 30% for Year+2, and 10% for Year+3.

Airlines are facing a sharp increase incompliance obligations due to rising emissions and the phase-out of free allocations by 2026. Most major carriers hedge carbon prices, with low-cost airlines typically more proactive. There is a loose correlation between carbon cost as a share of EBITDA and hedge ratios.

Industrial companies show highly varied approaches. Some, especially in steel, have hedged out to 2030. Others have reverted to spot buying. In 2024, several companies  expanded hedging to cover all projected liabilities through the decade.

Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.

DISCLAIMERS
This communication has been provided to you for informational purposes only.

This communication is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice, financial promotion, investment recommendations or investment research.

This communication is not intended as and is not to be taken as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security or interest, nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction, including those in which such an offer or solicitation is not authorised or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such a solicitation or offer. Distribution of information contained in this communication may be restricted by law. Persons receiving this communication should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. Any dissemination or other unauthorised use of this information or documents by any person or entity is strictly prohibited.

SparkChange believes the information in this communication to be correct at the date of issue. However, no representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy of any of the information provided. Some information in this communication is based on information given/obtained from independent research providers that SparkChange considers to be reliable. Analysis provided in this communication may be based on subjective assessments and assumptions and can use one among several alternative methodologies that produce diverse results. Hence, analysis and projections should not be seen as factual and should not be relied upon as accurate predictions of future performance.